An original practical exercise from The Byte N. Start with an everyday situation and adapt it to your context.
State the actual choice
Write the decision in one sentence. Separate the decision from a worry about every possible future.
List knowns and unknowns
Mark observations as observations and assumptions as assumptions. Do not give a guess the confidence of a fact.
Try an alternative explanation
Imagine a sensible person choosing differently. What information or priority might they have?
Choose a small test
For a reversible choice, test a version with a clear stopping point. Review what happened before expanding the commitment.